Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000249 0.000277 0.000308 0.000344 0.000385 0.000429 0.000482
2025-02-02 0.000202 0.000244 0.000294 0.000358 0.000438 0.000534 0.000661
2025-02-09 0.000167 0.000214 0.000273 0.000354 0.000463 0.000605 0.000806
2025-02-16 0.000145 0.000195 0.000261 0.000357 0.000493 0.000683 0.000972
2025-02-23 0.000127 0.000178 0.000248 0.000354 0.000512 0.000745 0.001122
2025-03-02 0.000115 0.000166 0.000240 0.000356 0.000538 0.000819 0.001298
2025-03-09 0.000104 0.000155 0.000231 0.000355 0.000557 0.000884 0.001470
2025-03-16 0.000092 0.000140 0.000214 0.000339 0.000551 0.000905 0.001569
2025-03-23 0.000085 0.000133 0.000209 0.000341 0.000573 0.000977 0.001768
2025-03-30 0.000081 0.000130 0.000210 0.000354 0.000615 0.001089 0.002061
2025-04-06 0.000074 0.000122 0.000201 0.000346 0.000619 0.001131 0.002222
2025-04-13 0.000066 0.000111 0.000186 0.000328 0.000602 0.001130 0.002297
2025-04-20 0.000062 0.000106 0.000183 0.000331 0.000626 0.001216 0.002577
2025-04-27 0.000060 0.000105 0.000186 0.000346 0.000676 0.001364 0.003027
2025-05-04 0.000056 0.000100 0.000179 0.000342 0.000688 0.001433 0.003308
2025-05-11 0.000053 0.000096 0.000176 0.000345 0.000714 0.001538 0.003699
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000091 0.000171 0.000342 0.000727 0.001613 0.004029
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000088 0.000168 0.000344 0.000751 0.001719 0.004465
2025-06-01 0.000044 0.000085 0.000164 0.000343 0.000768 0.001810 0.004881
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000078 0.000154 0.000328 0.000749 0.001807 0.005027
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000076 0.000152 0.000330 0.000772 0.001917 0.005537
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000076 0.000154 0.000342 0.000823 0.002114 0.006368
2025-06-29 0.000036 0.000072 0.000148 0.000335 0.000822 0.002162 0.006728